I don’t agree with Nikki Haley about much, but when she said that the Democrats would rather run against Trump than her, she was right.
Look, Donald Trump lost the popular vote in his first election. He was the first President since they started doing these polls who never even hit a 50% approval rating. He then lost his next election by an even larger margin. The American people never wanted him.
And current polls show that while he is very popular among Republicans, that isn’t enough. He certainly hasn’t added any new supporters to his side; many Republicans are refusing to support him. Oh, they won’t vote for Biden, but they’ll probably stay home on election day.
Just look at the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary. Trump is kind of their incumbent, and he could barely get past 50% of the Republicans who participated. A huge chunk of them wanted someone else.
The latest poll has Biden at 50% with Trump at 44% and as more Trump convictions happen, it’s not likely that 44% will go up. All the crazies who will support him no matter what are already in that number.
More importantly, look at this: Biden is ahead of Trump among women 58% to 36%. That’s huge. With Republicans doing their best to make abortion illegal and throw doctors in jail, those numbers may increase in Biden’s favor even more.
Seriously, these extremists on the right are just committing political suicide. It may work in their home state (and given how many red states have instead put abortion rights into their laws since the Dobbs decision, that’s not a guarantee), but it’s no way to win nationally.
Among independents, Biden is ahead 52% to 40%.
All Biden has to do is keep the states that voted for him last time, and in all those blue states, he’s doing even better than 50%. It’s doubtful any of them will suddenly switch to Trump.
The same poll shows that if the GOP instead nominates Haley, then the race is much closer. However, when only Republicans are surveyed for the primary elections, she’s way behind Trump. No one expects her to win the nomination.
So let’s all hope they keep digging themselves into the ditch.
