Oscar Predictions 2014

I’m one of those unusual straight guys who doesn’t know who won the Super Bowl, but can tell you what won Best Picture for the past thirty years.

Below are my predictions for tonight’s show.  This is not my list of what I want to win, but merely what I think will win.  Oscar loves serious movies about important topics and movies about movies.  (That’s why “Argo” and “The Artist” won the past two years).  “12 Years a Slave” has that Oscar seriousness the voters like.  Even if it’s not the Best Picture Of The Year, sometimes Oscar likes to pat itself on the back for tacking serious issues, which is why it is rare that films like “The Return of the King” win.  (And why “The Hobbit” was not nominated for best makeup this year.)

Feel free to post your predictions below and we’ll compare tomorrow.

Best Picture:  12 Years a Slave

Best Director:  Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity) oscar

Best Actor:  Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Actress:  Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)

Best Supporting Actor:  Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Best Supporting Actress: Lupita Nyongo (12 Years a Slave)

Best Original Screenplay:  American Hustle

Best Adapted Screenplay:  12 Years a Slave

Best Animated Feature:  Frozen

Best Foreign Film:  The Great Beauty

Best Production Design:  The Great Gatsby

Best Cinematography:  Gravity

Best Documentary Feature:  20 Feet from Stardom

Best Costume Design:  The Great Gatsby

Best Editing:  Gravity

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:  Dallas Buyers Club

Best Score:  Gravity

Best Sound Mixing:  Gravity

Best Sound Editing:  Gravity

Best Song:  Let it Go (Frozen)

Best Visual Effects:  Gravity

Best Animated Short:  Get a Horse!

Best Documentary Short:  The Lady in Number 6

Best Live Action Short:  The Voorman Problem

And now, my updated list of the films that won Best Picture and my choice of what should have won.  This is an entirely subjective list, although I did consider Oscar worthiness.  For instance, while “Monty Python and the Holy Grail” may be one of my favorite films, even I don’t think it deserved an Oscar.

Admittedly, I have not seen every single film on this list.  Sometimes I really don’t need to — I don’t have to see “The Greatest Show on Earth” to know that “Singin’ in the Rain” is better.  Just about every critic in the world would agree on that.

What Won What Should Have Won
1928 Wings The Circus
1929 Broadway Melody Steamboat Bill, Jr.
1930 All Quiet on the Western Front All Quiet on the Western Front
1931 Cimarron City Lights
1932 Grand Hotel Scarface
1933 Calvacade King Kong
1934 It Happened One Night It Happened One Night
1935 Mutiny on the Bounty Mutiny on the Bounty
1936 The Great Ziegfeld Modern Times
1937 The Life of Emile Zola Snow White & The Seven Dwarfs
1938 You Can’t Take it With You The Adventures of Robin Hood
1939 Gone With the Wind The Wizard of Oz
1940 Rebecca The Grapes of Wrath
1941 How Green Was My Valley Citizen Kane
1942 Mrs. Miniver Sullivan’s Travels
1943 Casablanca Casablanca
1944 Going My Way Double Indemnity
1945 The Lost Weekend Spellbound
1946 The Best Years of Our Lives It’s a Wonderful Life
1947 Gentleman’s Agreement Monsieur Verdoux
1948 Hamlet The Treasure of the Sierra Madre
1949 All the King’s Men All the King’s Men
1950 All About Eve Sunset Boulevard
1951 An American in Paris An American in Paris
1952 The Greatest Show on Earth Singin’ in the Rain
1953 From Here to Eternity From Here to Eternity
1954 On the Waterfront Rear Window
1955 Marty Mister Roberts
1956 Around the World in 80 Days The Searchers
1957 The Bridge on the River Kwai Witness for the Prosecution
1958 Gigi Touch of Evil
1959 Ben-Hur Some Like it Hot
1960 The Apartment Psycho
1961 West Side Story Judgment at Nuremberg
1962 Lawrence of Arabia Lawrence of Arabia
1963 Tom Jones Tom Jones
1964 My Fair Lady Dr. Strangelove
1965 The Sound of Music The Sound of Music
1966 A Man for All Seasons A Man for All Seasons
1967 In The Heat of the Night Bonnie and Clyde
1968 Oliver 2001: A Space Odyssey
1969 Midnight Cowboy Butch Cassidy & The Sundance Kid
1970 Patton M*A*S*H
1971 The French Connection A Clockwork Orange
1972 The Godfather The Godfather
1973 The Sting American Graffiti
1974 The Godfather Part 2 The Godfather Part 2
1975 One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest
1976 Rocky Taxi Driver
1977 Annie Hall Annie Hall
1978 The Deer Hunter The Deer Hunter
1979 Kramer verses Kramer Apocalypse Now
1980 Ordinary People The Empire Strikes Back
1981 Chariots of Fire Raiders of the Lost Ark
1982 Gandhi ET
1983 Terms of Endearment The Right Stuff
1984 Amadeus Amadeus
1985 Out of Africa Brazil
1986 Platoon Platoon
1987 The Last Emperor Empire of the Sun
1988 Rain Man Rain Man
1989 Driving Miss Daisy Do The Right Thing
1990 Dances with Wolves Goodfellas
1991 The Silence of the Lambs The Silence of the Lambs
1992 Unforgiven Malcolm X
1993 Schindler’s List Schindler’s List
1994 Forrest Gump Pulp Fiction
1995 Braveheart The American President
1996 The English Patient Fargo
1997 Titanic Amistad
1998 Shakespeare in Love Saving Private Ryan
1999 American Beauty American Beauty
2000 Gladiator Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon
2001 A Beautiful Mind The Fellowship of the Ring
2002 Chicago The Two Towers
2003 The Return of the King The Return of the King
2004 Million Dollar Baby Kill Bill 2
2005 Crash Munich
2006 The Departed The Departed
2007 No Country for Old Men No Country For Old Men
2008 Slumdog Millionaire The Dark Knight
2009 The Hurt Locker Inglorius Basterds
2010 The King’s Speech The Social Network
2011 The Artist Hugo
2012 Argo Lincoln

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