I have to admit that the polls look good going into this election, but you have to keep in mind that polls do not take into consideration cheating. Republicans have made their election strategy clear: They’re willing to do anything to win this election (except get the most votes).
We’ve already seen voter intimidation encouraged by the President; fake mail-in drop boxes set up to steal ballots; the closing of precincts; forcing people to drive hundreds of miles to drop off their ballots; and numerous lawsuits having the prime purpose of making sure the will of the people is not heard.
The only way to counter all this is with a massive vote that overwhelms all the tricks they are using.
But to the polls: Some people are saying “Yeah, Biden is ahead, but so was Hillary at this time.” That’s only true in certain places. Overall, Biden has been ahead of Trump consistently, which is unusual in a Presidential campaign. Here, look at this (from Real Clear Politics):
Trump has never hit a 50% approval rating as President. His highest scores are still lower than Obama’s lowest scores. His following is limited, and it’s even less this time. Some of those who supported him last time are abandoning him now, and he hasn’t appealed to any new voters.
But what about four years ago when we all said the same thing? Here’s how it looked then:
So what happened? Some of it was polling itself — many people didn’t want to admit they were voting for the racist incompetent idiot and wouldn’t tell the pollsters. Some of it was us being so confident we didn’t all get out and vote. Some of it was our terrible Electoral College (because, after all, the polls showed her ahead by 3% and she did get 3% more than Trump, just not in the right states). And some was the fact that Clinton, unlike Biden, started out with negative ratings and never really appealed to many voters.
But this time we’re ready and voting — but so are the Trump people. And they’re cheating. So don’t get complacent and don’t get comfortable. Vote!
(According to fivethirtyeight.com, this is what the Electoral College results would be if the election was held today and all the polls were completely accurate:)
Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com
I would have thought that foisting a doddery old man with early onset Alzheimer’s on the country, is both dishonest and motives sinister. I would have thought that In the past four years, the Democrats and their minions have tried every trick they could think of to get Trump out of the White House.
You would have thought wrong.
Yes, I assumed that would be your response. And what that says about you and the gullible and blinkered Democrat voters!
Yes, you can imagine how much your opinion means to me. I am so distraught, I don’t know how I can carry on.
Something we have in common. I feel exactly the same. 😉😉😉🙃
In January 1973, the Supreme Court issued a 7–2 decision ruling that the Due Process Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment of the US Constitution provides a “right to privacy” that PROTECTS a pregnant woman’s right to choose whether or not to have an abortion.
But it also ruled that this right is not absolute, and must be balanced against the government’s interests in protecting WOMEN’s health and protecting PRENATAL life.
The Court resolved this balancing test by tying state regulation of abortion to the THREE TRIMESTERS OF PREGNANCy:
during the first trimester, governments COULD NOT PROHIBIT ABORTION AT ALL.
during the second trimester, governments could require reasonable health regulations;
during the third trimester, abortions could be prohibited entirely SO LONG AS as the laws contained EXCEPTIONS for cases when they were necessary to SAVE the LIFE or HEALTH of the MOTHER]
The Court classified the right to choose to “have an abortion as “FUNDAMENTAL”, which required courts to evaluate challenged abortion laws under the “STRICT SCRUTINY” standard, the highest level of judicial review in the United States.
There were some reports after the last election that there were also problems with Clinton’s ground game, that they relied on polling rather than get-out-the-vote efforts. (One example was volunteers showing up at a apartment complex to take people to the polls, only to discover the complex had been razed some time previously.)
It was claimed that part of this could be traced to the Obama campaign **not** following the usual 2nd-term practice of turning over their organization to the party after re-election.
In any event, the Clinton campaign didn’t survey the ground in advance, despite the campaign officials of some of the close states like Michigan screaming that they had problems and needed help.
I get really leery when people treat polls like they are the election. And that’s before you get into voter suppression efforts.
Note that I have not researched any of this.